By Jordi Vallverdú
This ebook analyzes the origins of statistical considering in addition to its comparable philosophical questions, resembling causality, determinism or likelihood. Bayesian and frequentist methods are subjected to a historic, cognitive and epistemological research, making it attainable not to purely examine the 2 competing theories, yet to additionally discover a strength resolution. The paintings pursues a naturalistic procedure, continuing from the life of numerosity in average environments to the lifestyles of latest formulation and methodologies to heuristic pragmatism, an idea brought within the book’s ultimate part. This monograph may be of curiosity to philosophers and historians of technological know-how and scholars in comparable fields. regardless of the mathematical nature of the subject, no statistical historical past is needed, making the ebook a worthy learn for an individual drawn to the heritage of facts and human cognition.
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Additional info for Bayesians Versus Frequentists: A Philosophical Debate on Statistical Reasoning
What is most surprising is that the most well-known instance of sortes biblicae was by St. Augustine of Hippo who in the year 386 was prompted by a childlike voice he heard telling him to “take up and read” (in Latin: tolle, lege). ”), and later wrote that “as if before a peaceful light streaming into my heart, all the dark shadows of doubt fled away” (Confessions, Bk. 8, Chap. 29). Augustine was then converted, calling the experience a direct work of God, but a few centuries later this would have been considered just a blaspheme and sinful behavior (some millennia later, it could be easily typiﬁed as “schizophrenic”).
Raju (2011): 1191 from the 3-valued logic present in Jainism. 1 Dice in a Deterministic World 21 specialists in history of mathematics than us, who are following the path from natural numbers to human ways to design strategies to deal with them. Anyhow, numbers are not free from conceptual frameworks from which they emerge. Again in Western territories, we can consider Aristotle as the strongest defender of the causal and empirical approach to reality (Physics, II, 4–6) although he considered the possibility of chance, especially the problem of the game of dice (On Heavens, II, 292a30) and probabilities implied in it.
Gould, S. J. (1997). Questioning the Millennium. USA: Harmony Books. Hacking, Ian. (1984). The emergence of probability: A philosophical study of early ideas about probability, induction and statistical inference. UK: CUP. Hacking, Ian. (1990). The taming of chance. UK: Cambridge University Press. Hald, A. (1988). A history of probability and statistics and their applications before 1750. NY: Wiley. Holmes, A. (1826). The annals of America from the discovery by Columbus in the year 1492 (p. 142).
Bayesians Versus Frequentists: A Philosophical Debate on Statistical Reasoning by Jordi Vallverdú